As milder temperatures continue to sweep across the Midwest, February is showcasing above-average warmth. However, this pleasant spell is anticipated to be briefly interrupted by a cold front later this week.
A Short Warm Interlude Before the Cold Returns
According to Tyler Roys, a Senior Meteorologist at AccuWeather, regions including Iowa, Wisconsin, and parts of northern Illinois can expect temperatures nearing the 60s Fahrenheit on February 18 and 19. A cold front is projected to move southward from Canada, bringing colder air by February 20, with Minnesota experiencing temperatures dipping into the teens as the chill spreads to neighboring areas.
Owen Shieh, a meteorologist at NOAA's Weather Prediction Center, pointed out that while these late-winter temperature fluctuations are common, it's crucial for farmers to strategize in the coming week to minimize disruptions to their activities.
Looking ahead to the week of February 23, AccuWeather forecasts that the colder temperatures will persist, particularly in the Dakotas and much of Minnesota. However, Roys mentions that temperatures are expected to rise again by mid-next week, with southern Minnesota and parts of Iowa and Wisconsin reaching the 40s and 50s Fahrenheit on February 25.
Anticipated Storms Across the Midwest
NOAA's Weather Prediction Center has indicated that several storm systems are expected over the upcoming week. Shieh noted that these storms are typical for late winter, with snowfall likely in the northern Midwest and rain anticipated further south.
"Farmers in the Midwest will be affected by these storm patterns over the next ten days, but not every storm will impact all areas equally," Roys stated.
Shieh emphasized that temperature swings are common during this period. With the arrival of colder air next week, there's a possibility of an Alberta Clipper storm system bringing a quick burst of snow, although the exact timing remains uncertain.
Late-Winter Variability Won't Hinder Planting Season
Roys explained that the storms expected this week could provide beneficial moisture to areas suffering from drought conditions since November 2025. The combination of rising temperatures and melting snow cover is expected to enhance soil moisture levels.
While snow accumulation may persist in northern states, experts from AccuWeather do not foresee any significant deep freezes. In the lead-up to planting season, Roys is optimistic that temperatures and increased moisture will not disrupt farmers' schedules significantly.
Southern Illinois and Missouri may experience increased instances of ice jam flooding, a common occurrence in early spring. However, Roys reassured that there is still ample time for the ground to thaw, leaving him hopeful that farmers will be able to commence the growing season on schedule.